Thursday, April 8, 2010

HOTD: Prohibitive favorite

I have almost a full buy in front of me at the nickel tables, pick up AA34ds, and get in a raising war with another player until we're all in. I have this guy in such a bad way because he is bringing KKQJds and I have both of this suits covered which is good enough for a nearly 70% pre-flop favorite. As if that's not enough, the flop bring T42 with two diamonds which neither of us have and one club so I have the backdoor club draw taken care of. The flop increases my edge to 83% now that I have two pair, trip, and a gut shot wheel draw to go with my dominating pair advantage. Offsuit J on the turn is less than ideal but I'm still better than 2:1. River brings an ugly queen and he slips out of the noose he made for himself. Disappointing.
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2 comments:

  1. jasonApril 8, 2010 at 11:33 PM

    I was 4 bet today when I had AAxx on the button today by the SB. He had 6789 and flopped a boat. It happens.

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  2. Sushi CowboyApril 8, 2010 at 11:39 PM

    Yeah, I know AAxx is no guarantee but it's just that I had the other hand in such bad shape. I would MUCH rather take 6789 up against AAxx than taking KKxx against aces.

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